On 19 October 2023, the OSCE Academy hosted an event devoted to the launch of the second edition of Central Asia Forecasting Project Report. "Central Asia Forecasting" jointly organized with Friedrich Ebert Stiftung in Kazakhstan which served as a platform to present the findings of the survey and to discuss political, economic, and environmental aspects of Central Asia's development.
"Central Asia Forecasting" is a collaborative analytical project that aims to identify and track regional trends in Central Asia over time. The first study was launched in 2021, and the current edition is an updated follow-up on the first report. For this study, a human-judgement forecasting method was employed in the form of an opinion survey among relevant experts on the developments in Central Asia in the next three to five years. The survey and the report were designed and drafted by the editorial team consisting of Dr. Aijan Sharshenova (Crossroads Central Asia), Dr. Shairbek Dzhuraev (Crossroads Central Asia), Dr. Aliya Tskhay (University of St. Andrews) and Dr. Sebastian Schiek (IGPT Berlin).
Dr. Indira Satarkulova, Acting Director of the OSCE Academy, opened the event and welcomed the guests and participants of the event participating in hybrid format, and wished a productive session ahead. H.E. Ambassador Alexey Rogov, Head of the OSCE Programme Office in Bishkek, emphasized the importance of forecasting in fostering regional stability and cooperation. Dr. Alexander Wolters, Resident Representative and Country Director of Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung Kazakhstan, introduced the project and shared his insights into the relevance of the survey nowadays.
Following the introduction, a report discussion session took place where Dr. Aijan Sharshenova, Research Fellow at the Crossroads Central Asia Research Institute, Dr. Shairbek Dzhuraev, President of Crossroads Central Asia Research Institute, and Dr. Aliya Tskhay, Research Fellow at the University of St. Andrews, elaborated on political, economic, and environmental dimensions of Central Asia's ongoing development.